When Predictions Go Wrong

No, it’s not just the Super Bowl. However, let’s look at that for a minute. Every prognosticator on the stage was predicting the Eagles would win. Of course they had their reasons for that conclusion but the point was Eagles would win. We heard it all week.

If I had a nickle for every time in my life the predictors were wrong, I’d be very wealthy. But we have sort of a new dynamic now. For whatever reasons, people believe these huffy-puffy prognosticators. Or maybe they just want to.

Then whamo, when it doesn’t happen extreme disappointment sets in. It’s not pretty.

So this does not only apply to the Super Bowl or sports. It is dangerous in politics and even worse in warfare. If everyone has the notion how it ends, things get dicey just based on that preconception. At least good athletes and sportsmen understand that you cannot base all of your actions on expectations of winning.

We saw it in 2016 when Hillary didn’t win. How bad was that? But they were told and fed a line of garbage a mile long. They believed it. They saw prediction as a certainty. Then the demise when she lost. Some people never recovered from that. It turns to denial rather quickly and into dissent. Resistance was not just a moniker, it was a call to action.

Of course, Obama was a guru at creating and manipulating predictions to his favor. But really he was manipulating people. “Just keep believing,” he would say. It worked well for him but it was lousy for the country, We do not deserve to put that degree of faith into the predictions. And besides, we know who makes the predictions.

The Left and global elites have been predicting for years that climate doom is years away. We cannot do anything about it — except raise hoards of money in the meantime.

As to the Super Bowl, I was amazed to see every sportscaster on the panel call it early for Philadelphia. It was so bad that when it came to Terry Bradshaw, he felt guilty for also backing the Eagles and said so. The unanimity almost made him take the other side, but he didn’t. I even wondered if that might have raised the odds against Kansas City?

Oh but then we have the golden dunce in the Oval Office (part time anyway), who is fond of always saying “it’s never a good idea to bet against America.” Except that they do constantly, bet against America. That’s in vogue. They’ve been betting that way for years. They’ve been hedging every bet they make on a loosing America.

The Left acts on it too. They’ve already conceded to an open border. They openly reject a wall or any border defense. They’ve squandered our national potential and resources. They’ve caved into policies that cannot sustain America. They wished away our energy security and then depleted our reserves. Then act as if they are being reasonable about it. But it is not reasonable or intelligent. It’s mind-numbing belief and ignorance. Yet here they are hedging bets against America.

However, the worst part is when they do not get their way or their hair-brained predictions do not come true. When inconvenient facts emerge, there is popular revolt. Now they are building the same belief and expectations into entitlements for illegals or for reparations that, if ultimately rejected, will cause backlash and civil disorder if it does not materialize. Predictions and expectations can be dangerous.

Back at the Super Bowl, none of the broadcasters admitted their prediction errors later. Like it never happened. But KC’s Kelcee did mention it twice when they won. He told them “not one of you said Kansas City could win, not one.” No one answered his accusation. No response. Denial.

The punch line is simply: it starts with a Super Bowl game and then, before you know it, you are dealing with nuclear warfare.

Caution: welcome to the wacky, dangerous world of guaranteed predictions.

Right Ring | Bullright | 2023